2495 Empherias general election

2495 Empherias general election

September 29, 2495 (2495-09-29)
All 600 seats to the Parliament of Empherias 301 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	80.28% (48,744,598) (0.06pp)
Turnout	90.58% (44,152,857) (2.06pp)
First party Second party Third party   Leader Lucy King William Turner Kristopher Simons Party PSP Liberals Nationalists Leader since 9 July 2488 3 November 2494 26 August 2475 Last election 417 seats, 69.41% 36 seats, 6.0% 87 seats, 14.5% Seats won 291, 48.43% 207, 34.5% 68, 11.3% Seat change 126, 21.0% 171, 28.5% 19, 3.2% Popular vote 21,382,196 15,206,181 5,000,195 Percentage 48.43% 34.44% 11.32% Swing 20.98pp 28.46pp 3.13pp
File:2495 empherias election map.png
Prime Minister before election Lucy King (King II) PSP Elected Prime Minister Lucy King (King III) PSP

The 2495 Empherias general election was held on 29 September 2495, to elect 600 members to the Parliament of Empherias. It resulted in the incumbent People's Socialist Party losing over one hundred seats and receiving a plurality of the seats, short 10 for a majority. The Liberal party returned to opposition as the second largest party with 207 seats, up from 36 seats at the last election. This was the second consecutive election victory by Prime Minister Lucy King, and third consecutive victory for the Socialists.

Polling

Dates conducted	Pollster	Sample size	PSP	NAT	LIB	ALL	CON	GRN	ANK	BVP	Others	Lead
29 September 2495	2495 Empherias general election	–	48.6%	11.3%	34.5%	2.0%	1.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.2%	n/a	14.1%
September 2495	RegPoll	1,185	45%	11%	37%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	8%
September 2495	RegPoll	1,200	42%	11%	40%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	2%
September 2495	RegPoll	1,204	41%	10%	42%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%
August 2495	RegPoll	1,105	42%	10%	38%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	4%
August 2495	RegPoll	995	41%	11%	37%	5%	3%	2%	0%	0%	1%	4%
August 2495	RegPoll	986	43%	11%	32%	8%	3%	2%	0%	0%	1%	11%
August 2495	RegPoll	1,100	49%	10%	26%	10%	1%	2%	0%	0%	3%	23%
July 2495	RegPoll	1,082	53%	9%	21%	12%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	32%
July 2495	RegPoll	1,044	56%	8%	17%	14%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	39%
Alliance party scandal causes immense infighting
July 2495	RegPoll	1,025	54%	8%	16%	17%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	37%
July 2495	RegPoll	703	55%	8%	15%	17%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%	38%
2495 Ahitereiran earthquake hits, National Emergency Act passed
June 2495	RegPoll	689	51%	8%	16%	19%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%	32%
May 2495	RegPoll	672	50%	8%	16%	20%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%	30%
April 2495 Budget published
April 2495	RegPoll	652	47%	8%	18%	21%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%	26%
March 2495	RegPoll	624	48%	9%	17%	19%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	29%
February 2495	RegPoll	601	50%	9%	15%	18%	2%	4%	1%	1%	1%	32%
January 2495	RegPoll	605	49%	9%	14%	19%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	30%
December 2494	RegPoll	600	51%	9%	10%	21%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	30%
Liberal leader Jack Bastion assassinated; William Turner succeeds him
November 2494	RegPoll	614	55%	10%	5%	21%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	34%
October 2494	RegPoll	682	53%	10%	5%	21%	3%	4%	1%	2%	2%	32%
September 2494	RegPoll	655	52%	11%	5%	22%	2%	4%	1%	2%	2%	30%
August 2494	RegPoll	635	54%	10%	5%	22%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	32%
July 2494	RegPoll	622	53%	11%	5%	22%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	31%
June 2494	RegPoll	651	55%	10%	5%	21%	3%	3%	1%	2%	1%	34%
May 2494	RegPoll	692	54%	11%	5%	19%	3%	3%	1%	2%	1%	35%
April 2494 Budget published
April 2494	RegPoll	684	49%	12%	6%	24%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	25%
March 2494	RegPoll	655	50%	13%	5%	23%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	27%
February 2494	RegPoll	640	49%	14%	5%	23%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	26%
January 2494	RegPoll	623	50%	14%	5%	21%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	29%
December 2493	RegPoll	636	52%	13%	6%	19%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	33%
November 2493	RegPoll	634	51%	13%	6%	20%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	31%
October 2493	RegPoll	641	50%	14%	7%	19%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	31%
Government minister resigns due to scandal
September 2493	RegPoll	684	56%	13%	6%	15%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	41%
August 2493	RegPoll	621	55%	14%	5%	16%	3%	3%	1%	1%	2%	39%
July 2493	RegPoll	614	58%	13%	5%	14%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	44%
June 2493	RegPoll	651	60%	12%	5%	13%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	47%
May 2493	RegPoll	662	59%	12%	5%	14%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	45%
April 2493 Budget published
April 2493	RegPoll	680	53%	13%	5%	18%	3%	5%	1%	1%	1%	35%
March 2493	RegPoll	702	56%	12%	5%	17%	3%	4%	1%	1%	1%	39%
February 2493	RegPoll	618	53%	12%	5%	18%	3%	4%	2%	2%	1%	35%
Nationalist minister resigns and official apology
January 2493	RegPoll	613	55%	8%	5%	20%	4%	5%	1%	1%	1%	35%
December 2492	RegPoll	664	50%	9%	5%	21%	4%	7%	2%	1%	1%	29%
November 2492	RegPoll	665	52%	8%	5%	22%	4%	6%	1%	1%	1%	30%
October 2492	RegPoll	761	55%	5%	5%	20%	6%	6%	1%	1%	1%	35%
September 2492	RegPoll	667	58%	5%	5%	18%	5%	5%	1%	2%	1%	40%
August 2492	RegPoll	644	61%	6%	5%	15%	4%	6%	1%	1%	1%	46%
Nationalist party scandal becomes mainstream
July 2492	RegPoll	635	59%	13%	5%	13%	2%	6%	1%	0%	1%	46%
June 2492	RegPoll	694	60%	13%	5%	12%	2%	6%	1%	0%	1%	47%
May 2492	RegPoll	710	63%	12%	5%	11%	2%	5%	1%	0%	1%	51%
April 2492 Budget published
April 2492	RegPoll	617	58%	13%	4%	14%	3%	6%	1%	0%	1%	44%
March 2492	RegPoll	612	56%	14%	4%	15%	2%	7%	1%	0%	1%	41%
February 2492	RegPoll	625	55%	15%	5%	14%	2%	6%	1%	1%	1%	40%
January 2492	RegPoll	655	57%	14%	5%	13%	2%	6%	1%	1%	1%	43%
December 2491	RegPoll	731	57%	14%	5%	12%	3%	7%	1%	0%	1%	43%
November 2491	RegPoll	652	56%	14%	5%	13%	3%	7%	1%	0%	1%	42%
October 2491	RegPoll	624	56%	15%	5%	13%	3%	7%	1%	0%	1%	41%
September 2491	RegPoll	601	52%	17%	5%	14%	3%	8%	1%	0%	1%	35%
August 2491	RegPoll	605	58%	17%	5%	11%	3%	5%	1%	0%	1%	41%
July 2491	RegPoll	600	62%	16%	5%	9%	3%	4%	1%	0%	1%	46%
Government minister resigns due to scandal
June 2491	RegPoll	624	68%	15%	5%	6%	3%	2%	1%	0%	1%	53%
May 2491	RegPoll	613	70%	14%	5%	5%	3%	2%	1%	0%	1%	56%
April 2491 Budget published
April 2491	RegPoll	611	71%	13%	5%	6%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	58%
March 2491	RegPoll	605	69%	15%	6%	5%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	54%
19 February 2491	2491 Empherias general election	–	69.4%	14.5%	6.0%	4.7%	2.8%	0.9%	0.6%	0.4%	0.7%	54.9%

Results

File:2495 empherias election map.png
296	264	25	15
Socialists	Liberals	Nationalists	O

Party			Leader	Seats	change	MP %s	Pop vote		change
	Red Bloq	PSP	Lucy King	291 (48.5%)	126 (21.0pp)	291 / 600	21,382,196	48.43%	7,963,023	20.98pp
	Liberal Party	LIB	William Turner	207 (34.5%)	171 (28.5pp)	207 / 600	15,206,181	34.44%	12,677,060	28.46pp
	Nationalist Party	NP	Kristopher Simons	68 (11.33%)	19 (14.5pp)	68 / 600	5,000,195	11.32%	1,110,101	3.13pp
	Alliance Party	ALL	Oskar Nikolei	12 (2.00%)	17 (2.83pp)	12 / 600	865,122	1.96%	1,117,073	2.73pp
	Green and Durbanists	GRN	Georgia White	11 (1.83%)	5 (0.83pp)	11 / 600	538,912	1.22%	156,317	0.32pp
	Conservative Party	CON	James Armisen Bleaker	8 (1.33%)	10 (1.67pp)	8 / 600	785,285	1.78%	400,481	1.02pp
	Anchor Party	ANK	David Myres	2 (0.33%)	4 (0.33pp)	2 / 600	99,285	0.22%	160,827	0.40pp
	Bokanist Values Party	BVP	Harris Bennett	1 (0.17%)	2 (0.33pp)	1 / 600	66,295	0.15%	101,889	0.25pp
	Pink Daphnes	PDP	Ella Owen	0 (0.00%)			19,964	0.05%	41	0.00pp
	Independents (non-party)			0 (0.00%)			49,127	0.11%	16,467	0.03pp
Blank and invalid votes							140,295	0.32%	121,661	0.30pp
Total				600 seats			44,152,857	90.58%	1,874,748	2.06pp
Registered voters							48,744,598	80.28%	983,516	0.06pp

Analysis

Indepth changes to the result

Sideways parliament bar chart

Parliament chart (flourish)

bicumeral chart

Indepth result table

MPs who lost their set, MPs who gained their sets

Changes to government