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{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2499 Empherias Provisionalgeneral Election of 2499election
| country = Empherias
| type = parliamentary
| previous_electionprevious_year = [[Empherias2495 Provisional ElectionEmpherias ofgeneral election|2495]]
| previous_year = [[Empherias Provisional Election of 2495|2495]]
| election_date = {{Start date|2499|09|02}}
| next_electionnext_year = [[Empherias2501 Provisional ElectionEmpherias ofgeneral election|2501]]
| seats_for_election= All 600 seats to the [[Parliament of Empherias]]
| next_year = [[Empherias Provisional Election of 2501|2501]]
| seats_for_election= All 600 seats to the [[Parliament of Empherias|House of Parliament]]
| majority_seats = 301
| turnoutregistered = 80.23% (49,257,716) ={{decrease}} 78(0.4%05pp)
| image1 turnout = Lucy89.43% (44,051,175) {{decrease}} King(1.png15pp)
<!-- PSP -->
| leader1 = [[Lucy King]]
| image1 = [[File:Lucy King.png|100px]]
| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| leader1 = [[Lucy King]]
| leader_since1 = 9 July 2488
| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party|PSP]]
| last_election1 = 298 seats
| leader_since1 = [[Assassination of Alistair Walker|9 July 2488]]
| seats1 = '''296'''
| last_election1 = 291 seats, 48.5%
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 2
| seats1 = '''296''', 49.3%
| popular_vote1 = 9,235,778
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 5, 0.8%
| image2 = William Turner.png
| popular_vote1 = '''21,732,024'''
| leader2 = [[William Turner]]
| percentage1 = '''TBD'''
| party2 = [[Empherian Liberal Party|Liberals]]
| swing1 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| leader_since2 = 3 Nov 2494
| color1 = E4003B
| last_election2 = 212 seats
<!-- Liberals -->
| seats2 = '''264'''
| image2 = [[File:Person.png|100px]]
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 52
| leader2 = [[William Turner]]
| popular_vote2 = 8,274,925
| party2 = [[Liberal Party of Empherias|Liberals]]
| image3 = Pippin Pierre.png
| leader_since2 = [[2494 Empherias Liberal party leadership election|3 November 2494]]
| leader3 = [[Pippin Pierre]]
| last_election2 = 207 seats, 34.5%
| party3 = [[National Party of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| seats2 = '''254''', 42.3%
| leader_since3 = 25 Feb 2497
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 47, 7.8%
| last_election3 = 73 seats
| seats3 popular_vote2 = '''2518,648,426 '''
| percentage2 = '''TBD'''
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 48
| swing2 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| popular_vote3 = 781,459
| color2 = fdf38e
| image4 = James Armisen Bleaker.png
<!-- Nationalists-->
| leader4 = [[James Armisen Bleaker]]
| image3 = [[File:Person.png|100px]]
| party4 = [[Conservative Party of Empherias|Conservatives]]
| leader3 = [[Pippin Pierre]]
| leader_since4 = 1 Mar 2492
| party3 = [[Nationalist of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| last_election4 = 8 seats
| leader_since3 = [[2497 Empherias Nationalist party leadership election|25 February 2497]]
| seats4 = '''6'''
| last_election3 = 68 seats, 11.3%
| seat_change4 = {{decrease}} 2
| seats3 = '''25''', 4.2%
| popular_vote4 = 188,246
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 43, 7.1%
| image5 = Oskar Nikolei.png
| popular_vote3 = '''1,835,475'''
| leader5 = [[Oskar Nikolei]]
| percentage3 = '''TBD'''
| party5 = [[Centrist Party of Empherias|DECP]]
| swing3 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| leader_since5 = 19 Sep 2486
| color3 = 272727
| last_election5 = 2 seats
<!-- Result -->
| seats5 = '''4'''
| seat_change5 = {{increase}} 2
| popular_vote5 = 123,954
| image6 = Georgia White.png
| leader6 = [[Georgia White]]
| party6 = [[Green Social and Labour Party of Empherias|GESLP / Greens]]
| leader_since6 = 20 Jun 2498
| last_election6 = 4 seats
| seats6 = '''2'''
| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 2
| popular_vote6 = 63,176
| title = Prime Minister
| before_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Third King administration of Empherias|King III]])}}
| before_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| after_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Fourth King administration of Empherias|King IV]])}}
| after_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
|opinion_polls=yes
| color1 = ff0000
|map=[[File:2499 empherias election mapc.png|400px]]
| color2 = c8fe06
| color3 = 000000
| color4 = 2591d0
| color5 = ff6f00
| color6 = 2cd129
}}
 
The '''2499 Empherias provisionalgeneral election''' was held on 2 September 2499, to elect 600 members to the [[Empherias|Empherian]] [[Parliament of Empherias|House of Parliament]]. It resulted in the incumbent [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|Socialist Party]] receiving a plurality, short 3 seats for a majority. Overall, the Socialists saw little changes while the electorate swung around 50 seats from favouring the [[National Party of Empherias|Nationalists]], to favouring the [[Empherian Liberal Party|Liberals]]. The Socialists and [[Green Social and Labour Party of Empherias|Greens]] agreed to a supply and demand coalition. This was the fourth consecutive victory for the Socialists, but the worst showing of incumbent Prime Minister [[Lucia Emmelie King|Lucy King]].
 
The results of the [[Empherias Provisional Election of 2495|2495 election]] left the Socialists, who held 298 seats, in a tight coalition with the Greens, holding 4 seats. This caused a lot of problems as even small party rebellions could result in the failure of controversial legislature. The government therefore faced a lot of strain and failed to pass many of it's own laws through the Parliament. For example, a [[Votes in the Empherias Houses of Parliament in 2493|government proposal]] to increase the highest income bracket from 53% to 56% in 2493, was shot down when 6 socialist MPs rebelled, and all independents abstained. (294 ayes to 303 noes). Therefore, like how the [[Empherias Provisional Election of 2491|2491]] and 2495 elections were held after just four years, Lucy King called for a general election just 3 years and 11 months after the 2495 election.
Line 95 ⟶ 79:
 
The decrease in the popularity of the immigration issue negatively affected the Conservative campaign, and many immigrant voters moved away from the right-wing in general fearing a Liberal-Conservative coalition that could inadvertently make immigration harder. Many leftist newspapers accused the right of wanting to reform the prison system to disproportionally affect skaven and dwarven people, which drastically decreased Conservative support amongst them. Some Ankrankists accused the Conservatives of attempted genocide and said that any Liberal coalition with the Conservatives in the event of a hung parliament would be a political suicide note.
==General Election==
===Overview===
Regional votes
 
== Polling ==
Shifts in demographics
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
! rowspan="2" | Dates
conducted
! rowspan="2" |Pollster
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" | Sample
size
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Liberal Party of Empherias|LIB]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Nationalist Party of Empherias|NAT]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Conservative Party of Empherias|CON]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Alliance Party (HKA)|ALL]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Greens and Durbanist Party of Empherias|GRN]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Anchor Party of Empherias|ANK]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Bokanist Values Party of Empherias|BVP]]
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:75px;" |Others
! rowspan="2" |Lead
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Liberal (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Nationalist (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Conservatives (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Alliance (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Greens (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Anchor (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|BVP (EMP)}};" |
|- style="background:#E9E9E9;"
|2 September 2499
| rowspan="1" |''2499 Empherias general election''
|–
|49.3%
| 42.3%
|4.2%
| 1.0%
|1.7%
| 1.0%
|0.3%
|0.2%
|n/a
|7.0%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|14 June 2496
|RegPoll
|620
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |48%
|30%
|6%
|1%
|7%
|8%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |18%
|-
|31 May 2496
|RegPoll
|615
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|27%
|7%
|1%
|6%
|8%
|1%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |23%
|-
|17 May 2496
|RegPoll
|612
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |48%
|28%
|8%
|1%
|7%
|7%
|1%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |20%
|-
|3 May 2496
|RegPoll
|621
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|27%
|7%
|1%
|6%
|8%
|1%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |23%
|-
|19 April 2496
|RegPoll
|629
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|28%
|8%
|0%
|6%
|8%
|1%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |21%
|-
|5 April 2496
|RegPoll
|631
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |52%
|25%
|6%
|0%
|4%
|12%
|1%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |27%
|-
|22 March 2496
|RegPoll
|605
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |54%
|21%
|8%
|1%
|3%
|13%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |33%
|-
|8 March 2496
|RegPoll
|619
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|27%
|7%
|1%
|3%
|11%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |24%
|-
|23 February 2496
|RegPoll
|618
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|28%
|6%
|2%
|4%
|10%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |22%
|-
|9 February 2496
|RegPoll
|620
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |48%
|30%
|8%
|1%
|3%
|10%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |18%
|-
|26 January 2496
|RegPoll
|613
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|29%
|8%
|1%
|3%
|6%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |24%
|-
|12 January 2496
|RegPoll
|605
|style="background:#FFCCD9" |54%
|28%
|8%
|1%
|4%
|5%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |26%
|-
|29 December 2495
|RegPoll
|606
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|31%
|9%
|2%
|3%
|4%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |20%
|-
|15 December 2495
|RegPoll
|621
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|30%
|9%
|2%
|2%
|4%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |23%
|-
|1 December 2495
|RegPoll
|625
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|34%
|10%
|1%
|2%
|4%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |15%
|-
|17 November 2495
|RegPoll
|622
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|33%
|10%
|1%
|2%
|4%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |17%
|-
|3 November 2495
|RegPoll
|610
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|32%
|11%
|1%
|1%
|4%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |19%
|-
|20 October 2495
|RegPoll
|613
| style="background:#FFCCD9;" |50%
|34%
|11%
|1%
|1%
|3%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |16%
|-
|6 October 2495
|RegPoll
|609
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|35%
|11%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|
| style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |14%
|- style="background:#E9E9E9;" |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;" |29 September 2495
| rowspan="1" |[[2495 Empherias general election]]
|–
|48.6%
|34.5%
|11.3%
|1.3%
|2.0%
|1.8%
|0.3%
|0.2%
|n/a
|14.1%
|}
 
== Results ==
Late polling data
 
Scandals during the campaign
===Results===
{| style="width:70%; text-align:center;"
| colspan="4" |[[File:2499 empherias election map.png|center|frameless|900x900px|border]]
|-
| colspan="4" |[[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2499.png|frameless|900px|center]]
|- style="color:white;"
| style="background:#E4003B; width; 49.3%;" |'''296'''
| style="background:#EFFD5Ffdf38e; width: 44.0%;" |'''264'''
| style="background:#000000272727; width: 04.2%;" |'''25'''
| style="background:gray; width:2.5%;" |'''15'''
|-
|<span style="color:#E4003B;">'''Socialists'''</span>
|<span style="color:#EFFD5Ffdf38e;">'''Liberals'''</span>
|<span style="color:#000000272727;">'''Nationalists'''</span>
|<span style="color:gray;">'''O'''</span>
|}
|}[[File:Empherias_Parliament_2499.svg]][[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2499.svg|frameless]]
 
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; vertical-align:middle;"
|-
! colspan="3" rowspan="2" |Party
! rowspan="2" |Leader
! colspan="3" |Previous ([[Empherias Provisional Election of 2495|2495]])
! colspan="3" |Now (2499)
! rowspan="2" |Change
|-
!Seats
! colspan="2" |Pc%
!Seats
!change
! colspan="2" |Pc%
!MP %s
! colspan="2" |Pop vote
! colspan="2" |change
|-
| style="background-color:#e4003b;" |
Line 134 ⟶ 447:
|PSP
|[[Lucia Emmelie King|Lucy King]]
|'''296''' {{Small|(49.33%)}}
|298
|{{increase}} 5 {{Small|(0.8pp)}}
|49.67%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|298|600|#e4003b}}
|296
|49.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|296|600|#e4003b}}
|'''21,639,218'''
|{{decrease}} 2
|49.12%
|{{increase}} 349,827
|{{increase}} 0.69pp
|-
| style="background-color:#fdf38e;" |
Line 146 ⟶ 459:
|LIB
|[[William Turner]]
|'''254''' {{Small|(42.33%)}}
|212
|{{increase}} 47 {{Small|(7.8pp)}}
|35.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|212254|600|#FDF38E}}
|'''18,552,359'''
|264
|4442.0012%
|{{increase}} 3,442,244
|{{Infobox political party/seats|264|600|#FDF38E}}
|{{increase}} 527.68pp
|-
| style="background-color:#272727;" |
Line 158 ⟶ 471:
|NP
|[[Pippin Pierre]]
|'''25''' {{Small|(4.17%)}}
|73
|{{decrease}} 43 {{Small|(7.1pp)}}
|12.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|73|600|#272727}}
|25
|4.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|25|600|#272727}}
|'''1,794,328'''
|{{decrease}} 48
|4.07%
|{{decrease}} 3,164,720
|{{decrease}} 7.25pp
|-
| style="background-color:#ff6f00;" |
|[[Alliance Party (HKA)|Alliance Party]]
|ALL
|[[Oskar Nikolei]]
|'''10''' {{Small|(1.67%)}}
|{{decrease}} 2 {{Small|(0.3pp)}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|10|600|#FF6F00}}
|'''704,195'''
|1.60%
|{{decrease}} 131,297
|{{decrease}} 0.36pp
|-
| style="background-color:#0087dc;" |
Line 170 ⟶ 495:
|CON
|[[James Armisen Bleaker]]
|'''6''' {{Small|(1.00%)}}
|8
|{{decrease}} 2 {{Small|(0.3pp)}}
|1.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|8|600|#0087DC}}
|6
|1.00%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|6|600|#0087DC}}
|'''421,589'''
|{{decrease}} 2
|0.96%
|-
|{{decrease}} 98,810
| style="background-color:#ff6f00;" |
|{{decrease}} 0.86pp
|[[Alliance Party (HKA)|Alliance Party]]
|ALL
|[[Oskar Nikolei]]
|2
|0.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF6F00}}
|4
|0.67%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|4|600|#FF6F00}}
|{{increase}} 2
|-
| style="background-color:#73af48;" |
Line 194 ⟶ 507:
|GRN
|[[Georgia White]]
|'''6''' {{Small|(1.00%)}}
|4
|{{decrease}} 5 {{Small|(0.8pp)}}
|0.67%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|46|600|#73AF48}}
|'''401,526'''
|2
|0.3391%
|{{decrease}} 443,893
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#73AF48}}
|{{decrease}} 20.31pp
|-
| style="background-color:#ff0000;" |
|[[Ankrank Party of Empherias|AnkrankAnchor Party]]
|ANK
|David Myres
|'''2''' {{Small|(0.33%)}}
|2
|{{steady}}
|0.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF0000}}
|2
|0.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF0000}}
|'''134,192'''
|{{steady}}
|0.30%
|{{decrease}} 3,742
|{{increase}} 0.08pp
|-
| style="background-color:#70147a;" |
Line 218 ⟶ 531:
|BVP
|Harris Bennett
|'''1''' {{Small|(0.17%)}}
|1
|0.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|1|600|#70147A}}
|1
|0.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|1|600|#70147A}}
|{{steady}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|1|600|#70147A}}
|'''40,194'''
|0.09%
|{{increase}} 1,937
|{{decrease}} 0.06pp
|-
| style="background-color:#c27ba0;" |
Line 230 ⟶ 543:
|PDP
|Ella Owen
| colspan="3" |'''0''' {{Small|(0.00%)}}
|0
|'''16,825'''
|0.00%
|0.04%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|0|600|#C27BA0}}
|{{decrease}} 3,139
|0
|{{decrease}} 0.01pp
|0.00%
|-
|{{Infobox political party/seats|0|600|#C27BA0}}
|
|{{steady}}
| colspan="3" |Independents (non-party)
| colspan="3" |'''0''' {{Small|(0.00%)}}
|'''223,454'''
|0.51%
|{{increase}} 174,327
|{{increase}} 0.40pp
|-
! colspan="7" |Blank and invalid votes
!123,295
!'''0.28%'''
!{{decrease}} 16,999
!{{decrease}} 0.04pp
|-
! colspan="4" |Total
! colspan="3" |600 seats
!44,051,175
!89.43%
!{{decrease}} 101,682
!{{decrease}} 1.15pp
|-
! colspan="7" |Registered voters
!49,257,716
!80.23%
!{{increase}} 513,118
!{{decrease}} 0.05pp
|}
 
===Analysis===
Indepth changes to the result
Retrieved from "https://xomnipedia.org/wiki/Special:MobileDiff/11385...18819"