2495 Empherias general election: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2495 General Election
| election_name = 2495 Empherias general election
| country = Empherias
| country = Empherias
| type = parliamentary
| type = parliamentary
| previous_election = [[2491 Empherias general election]]
| previous_year = [[2491 Empherias general election|2491]]
| previous_year = [[2491 Empherias general election|2491]]
| election_date = {{Start date|2495|09|29}}
| election_date = {{Start date|2495|09|29}}
| next_election = [[2499 Empherias general election]]
| next_year = [[2499 Empherias general election|2499]]
| next_year = [[2499 Empherias general election|2499]]
| seats_for_election= All 600 seats to the [[Parliament of Empherias|House of Parliament]]
| seats_for_election= All 600 seats to the [[Parliament of Empherias]]
| majority_seats = 301
| majority_seats = 301
| turnout = 74.6%
| registered = 80.28% (48,744,598) {{decrease}} (0.06pp)
| image1 = Lucy King.png
| turnout = 90.58% (44,152,857) {{increase}} (2.06pp)
<!-- PSP -->
| leader1 = [[Lucy King]]
| image1 = Lucy King.png
| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| leader1 = [[Lucy King]]
| leader_since1 = 9 July 2488
| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party|PSP]]
| last_election1 = 487 seats
| leader_since1 = [[Assassination of Alistair Walker|9 July 2488]]
| seats1 = '''298'''
| last_election1 = 417 seats, 69.41%
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 189
| seats1 = '''291''', 48.43%
| popular_vote1 = TBD
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 126, 21.0%
| image2 = William Turner.png
| popular_vote1 = '''21,382,196'''
| leader2 = [[William Turner]]
| percentage1 = '''48.43%'''
| party2 = [[Empherian Liberal Party|Liberals]]
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 20.98[[Percentage point|pp]]
| leader_since2 = 3 Nov 2494
| color1 = E4003B
| last_election2 = 24 seats
<!-- Liberals -->
| seats2 = '''212'''
| image2 = Person.png
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 188
| leader2 = [[William Turner]]
| popular_vote2 = TBD
| party2 = [[Liberal Party of Empherias|Liberals]]
| image3 = Kasper Simons.png
| leader_since2 = [[2494 Empherias Liberal party leadership election|3 November 2494]]
| leader3 = [[Kasper Simons]]
| last_election2 = 36 seats, 6.0%
| party3 = [[National Party of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| seats2 = '''207''', 34.5%
| leader_since3 = 26 Aug 2475
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 171, 28.5%
| last_election3 = 65 seats
| seats3 = '''73'''
| popular_vote2 = '''15,206,181'''
| percentage2 = '''34.44%'''
| seat_change3 = {{increase}} 8
| swing2 = {{increase}} 28.46[[Percentage point|pp]]
| popular_vote3 = TBD
| color2 = fdf38e
<!-- Nationalists-->
| image3 = Person.png
| leader3 = [[Kristopher Simons]]
| party3 = [[Nationalist of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| leader_since3 = [[2475 Empherias Nationalist party leadership election|26 August 2475]]
| last_election3 = 87 seats, 14.5%
| seats3 = '''68''', 11.3%
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 19, 3.2%
| popular_vote3 = '''5,000,195'''
| percentage3 = '''11.32%'''
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 3.13[[Percentage point|pp]]
| color3 = 272727
<!-- Result -->
| title = Prime Minister
| title = Prime Minister
| before_election = [[Lucy King]]
| before_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Second King administration of Empherias|King II]])}}
| before_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| before_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| after_election = [[Lucy King]]
| after_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Third King administration of Empherias|King III]])}}
| after_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| after_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
|opinion_polls=yes
| color1 = ff0000
|map=[[File:2495 empherias election map.png|500px]]
| color2 = c8fe06
| color3 = 000000
}}
}}


The '''2495 general election''' was held on 29 September 2495, to elect 600 members to the Empherian House of Parliament. The Socialists, led by Lucy King, won it's third consecutive victory after their victory in the 2487 and 2491 elections. This was the worst showing of the Socialists since their return to power in 2387.
The '''2495 Empherias general election''' was held on 29 September 2495, to elect 600 members to the [[Parliament of Empherias]]. It resulted in the incumbent [[People's Socialist Party]] losing over one hundred seats and receiving a plurality of the seats, short 10 for a majority. The [[Liberal Party of Empherias|Liberal party]] returned to opposition as the second largest party with 207 seats, up from 36 seats at the last election. This was the second consecutive election victory by [[Prime Minister of Empherias|Prime Minister]] [[Lucy King]], and third consecutive victory for the Socialists.
==Background==
==Polling==
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
! rowspan="2" |Dates
conducted
! rowspan="2" |Pollster
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" |Sample
size
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Nationalist Party of Empherias|NAT]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Liberal Party of Empherias|LIB]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Alliance Party (HKA)|ALL]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Conservative Party of Empherias|CON]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Greens and Durbanist Party of Empherias|GRN]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Anchor Party of Empherias|ANK]]
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" |[[Bokanist Values Party of Empherias|BVP]]
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:75px;" |Others
! rowspan="2" |Lead
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|PSP}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Nationalist (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Liberal (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Alliance (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Conservatives (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Greens (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Anchor (EMP)}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|BVP (EMP)}};" |
|- style="background:#E9E9E9;"
|29 September 2495
| rowspan="1" |''2495 Empherias general election''
|–
|48.6%
|11.3%
|34.5%
|2.0%
|1.3%
|1.8%
|0.3%
|0.2%
|n/a
|14.1%
|-
|September 2495
|RegPoll
|1,185
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |45%
|11%
|37%
|2%
|1%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |8%
|-
|September 2495
|RegPoll
|1,200
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |42%
|11%
|40%
|2%
|1%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |2%
|-
|September 2495
|RegPoll
|1,204
|41%
|10%
| style="background:#FEFDDE" |42%
|2%
|2%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#FDF38E" |1%
|-
|August 2495
|RegPoll
|1,105
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |42%
|10%
|38%
|4%
|2%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |4%
|-
|August 2495
|RegPoll
|995
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |41%
|11%
|37%
|5%
|3%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |4%
|-
|August 2495
|RegPoll
|986
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |43%
|11%
|32%
|8%
|3%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |11%
|-
|August 2495
|RegPoll
|1,100
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|10%
|26%
|10%
|1%
|2%
|0%
|0%
|3%
|style="background:#E4003B" |23%
|-
|July 2495
|RegPoll
|1,082
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|9%
|21%
|12%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|0%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |32%
|-
|July 2495
|RegPoll
|1,044
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|8%
|17%
|14%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |39%
|-
| colspan="13" |Alliance party scandal causes immense infighting
|-
|July 2495
|RegPoll
|1,025
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |54%
|8%
|16%
|17%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |37%
|-
|July 2495
|RegPoll
|703
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|8%
|15%
|17%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|style="background:#E4003B" |38%
|-
| colspan="13" |2495 Ahitereiran earthquake hits, National Emergency Act passed
|-
|June 2495
|RegPoll
|689
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|8%
|16%
|19%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|style="background:#E4003B" |32%
|-
|May 2495
|RegPoll
|672
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|8%
|16%
|20%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|style="background:#E4003B" |30%
|-
| colspan="13" |April 2495 Budget published
|-
|April 2495
|RegPoll
|652
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |47%
|8%
|18%
|21%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|style="background:#E4003B" |26%
|-
|March 2495
|RegPoll
|624
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |48%
|9%
|17%
|19%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |29%
|-
|February 2495
|RegPoll
|601
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|9%
|15%
|18%
|2%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |32%
|-
|January 2495
|RegPoll
|605
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|9%
|14%
|19%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |30%
|-
|December 2494
|RegPoll
|600
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|9%
|10%
|21%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |30%
|-
| colspan="13" |Liberal leader Jack Bastion assassinated; William Turner succeeds him
|-
|November 2494
|RegPoll
|614
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|10%
|5%
|21%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |34%
|-
|October 2494
|RegPoll
|682
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|10%
|5%
|21%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |32%
|-
|September 2494
|RegPoll
|655
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |52%
|11%
|5%
|22%
|2%
|4%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |30%
|-
|August 2494
|RegPoll
|635
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |54%
|10%
|5%
|22%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |32%
|-
|July 2494
|RegPoll
|622
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|11%
|5%
|22%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |31%
|-
|June 2494
|RegPoll
|651
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|10%
|5%
|21%
|3%
|3%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |34%
|-
|May 2494
|RegPoll
|692
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |54%
|11%
|5%
|19%
|3%
|3%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
| colspan="13" |April 2494 Budget published
|-
|April 2494
|RegPoll
|684
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|12%
|6%
|24%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |25%
|-
|March 2494
|RegPoll
|655
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|13%
|5%
|23%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |27%
|-
|February 2494
|RegPoll
|640
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |49%
|14%
|5%
|23%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |26%
|-
|January 2494
|RegPoll
|623
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|14%
|5%
|21%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|3%
|style="background:#E4003B" |29%
|-
|December 2493
|RegPoll
|636
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |52%
|13%
|6%
|19%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|3%
|style="background:#E4003B" |33%
|-
|November 2493
|RegPoll
|634
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |51%
|13%
|6%
|20%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |31%
|-
|October 2493
|RegPoll
|641
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|14%
|7%
|19%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |31%
|-
| colspan="13" |Government minister resigns due to scandal
|-
|September 2493
|RegPoll
|684
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|13%
|6%
|15%
|2%
|3%
|1%
|2%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |41%
|-
|August 2493
|RegPoll
|621
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|14%
|5%
|16%
|3%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|2%
|style="background:#E4003B" |39%
|-
|July 2493
|RegPoll
|614
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |58%
|13%
|5%
|14%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |44%
|-
|June 2493
|RegPoll
|651
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |60%
|12%
|5%
|13%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |47%
|-
|May 2493
|RegPoll
|662
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |59%
|12%
|5%
|14%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |45%
|-
| colspan="13" |April 2493 Budget published
|-
|April 2493
|RegPoll
|680
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|13%
|5%
|18%
|3%
|5%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
|March 2493
|RegPoll
|702
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|12%
|5%
|17%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |39%
|-
|February 2493
|RegPoll
|618
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |53%
|12%
|5%
|18%
|3%
|4%
|2%
|2%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
| colspan="13" |Nationalist minister resigns and official apology
|-
|January 2493
|RegPoll
|613
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|8%
|5%
|20%
|4%
|5%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
|December 2492
|RegPoll
|664
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |50%
|9%
|5%
|21%
|4%
|7%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |29%
|-
|November 2492
|RegPoll
|665
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |52%
|8%
|5%
|22%
|4%
|6%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |30%
|-
|October 2492
|RegPoll
|761
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|5%
|5%
|20%
|6%
|6%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
|September 2492
|RegPoll
|667
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |58%
|5%
|5%
|18%
|5%
|5%
|1%
|2%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |40%
|-
|August 2492
|RegPoll
|644
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |61%
|6%
|5%
|15%
|4%
|6%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |46%
|-
| colspan="13" |Nationalist party scandal becomes mainstream
|-
|July 2492
|RegPoll
|635
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |59%
|13%
|5%
|13%
|2%
|6%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |46%
|-
|June 2492
|RegPoll
|694
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |60%
|13%
|5%
|12%
|2%
|6%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |47%
|-
|May 2492
|RegPoll
|710
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |63%
|12%
|5%
|11%
|2%
|5%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |51%
|-
| colspan="13" |April 2492 Budget published
|-
|April 2492
|RegPoll
|617
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |58%
|13%
|4%
|14%
|3%
|6%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |44%
|-
|March 2492
|RegPoll
|612
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|14%
|4%
|15%
|2%
|7%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |41%
|-
|February 2492
|RegPoll
|625
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |55%
|15%
|5%
|14%
|2%
|6%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |40%
|-
|January 2492
|RegPoll
|655
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |57%
|14%
|5%
|13%
|2%
|6%
|1%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |43%
|-
|December 2491
|RegPoll
|731
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |57%
|14%
|5%
|12%
|3%
|7%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |43%
|-
|November 2491
|RegPoll
|652
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|14%
|5%
|13%
|3%
|7%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |42%
|-
|October 2491
|RegPoll
|624
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |56%
|15%
|5%
|13%
|3%
|7%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |41%
|-
|September 2491
|RegPoll
|601
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |52%
|17%
|5%
|14%
|3%
|8%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |35%
|-
|August 2491
|RegPoll
|605
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |58%
|17%
|5%
|11%
|3%
|5%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |41%
|-
|July 2491
|RegPoll
|600
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |62%
|16%
|5%
|9%
|3%
|4%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |46%
|-
| colspan="13" |Government minister resigns due to scandal
|-
|June 2491
|RegPoll
|624
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |68%
|15%
|5%
|6%
|3%
|2%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |53%
|-
|May 2491
|RegPoll
|613
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |70%
|14%
|5%
|5%
|3%
|2%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |56%
|-
| colspan="13" |April 2491 Budget published
|-
|April 2491
|RegPoll
|611
| style="background:#FFCCD9;" |71%
|13%
|5%
|6%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |58%
|-
|March 2491
|RegPoll
|605
| style="background:#FFCCD9" |69%
|15%
|6%
|5%
|3%
|1%
|1%
|0%
|1%
|style="background:#E4003B" |54%
|- style="background:#E9E9E9;" |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;" |19 February 2491
| rowspan="1" |[[2491 Empherias general election]]
|–
|69.4%
|14.5%
|6.0%
|4.7%
|2.8%
|0.9%
|0.6%
|0.4%
|0.7%
|54.9%
|}


==Results==
Lucy King was returned as Prime Minister, with the Socialists having 298 seats. No party won a majority of seats causing the incumbent to form a minority government despite early night results believing a small majority was possible. The Liberals returned 212 seats, an increase of a massive 188 seats from the previous provisional election. The Nationalists returned a respectable 73 seats, an increase of 8. The fringe parties saw little changes with the Conservatives, Greens (GESLP) and Centrists (DECP) returning eight, four, and two seats respectively.

The election saw a huge swing in support for the Liberals.

== Outcome ==
{| style="width:70%; text-align:center;"
{| style="width:70%; text-align:center;"
|[[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2495.png|frameless|left|450px]]
| colspan="4" |[[File:2495 empherias election map.png|center|frameless|900x900px|border]]
|-
|[[File:Empherias_Parliament_2495.png|frameless|left|450px]]
| colspan="4" |[[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2495.png|frameless|900px|center]]
|- style="color:white;"
|- style="color:white;"
| style="background:#E4003B; width; 49.7%;" |'''298'''
| style="background:#E4003B; width; 49.3%;" |'''296'''
| style="background:#EFFD5F; width: 35.3%;" |'''212'''
| style="background:#fdf38e; width: 44.0%;" |'''264'''
| style="background:#000000; width: 12.2%;" |'''73'''
| style="background:#272727; width: 04.2%;" |'''25'''
| style="background:gray; width:2.8%;" |'''17'''
| style="background:gray; width:2.5%;" |'''15'''
|-
|-
|<span style="color:#E4003B;">'''Socialists'''</span>
|<span style="color:#E4003B;">'''Socialists'''</span>
|<span style="color:#EFFD5F;">'''Liberals'''</span>
|<span style="color:#fdf38e;">'''Liberals'''</span>
|<span style="color:#000000;">'''Nationalists'''</span>
|<span style="color:#272727;">'''Nationalists'''</span>
|<span style="color:gray;">'''O'''</span>
|<span style="color:gray;">'''O'''</span>
|}
|}
Line 69: Line 1,039:
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; vertical-align:middle;"
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; vertical-align:middle;"
|-
|-
! colspan="3" rowspan="2" |Party
! colspan="3" |Party
! rowspan="2" |Leader
!Leader
! colspan="3" |Previous ([[2491 Empherias general election|2491]])
! colspan="3" |Now (2495)
! rowspan="2" |Change
|-
!Seats
! colspan="2" |Pc%
!Seats
!Seats
!change
! colspan="2" |Pc%
!MP %s
! colspan="2" |Pop vote
! colspan="2" |change
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#e4003b;" |
| style="background-color:#e4003b;" |
Line 84: Line 1,051:
|PSP
|PSP
|[[Lucia Emmelie King|Lucy King]]
|[[Lucia Emmelie King|Lucy King]]
|'''291''' {{Small|(48.5%)}}
|487
|{{decrease}} 126 {{Small|(21.0pp)}}
|81.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|487|600|#e4003b}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|291|600|#e4003b}}
|'''21,382,196'''
|298
|49.67%
|48.43%
|{{decrease}} 7,963,023
|{{Infobox political party/seats|298|600|#e4003b}}
|{{decrease}} 189
|{{decrease}} 20.98pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#fdf38e;" |
| style="background-color:#fdf38e;" |
Line 96: Line 1,063:
|LIB
|LIB
|[[William Turner]]
|[[William Turner]]
|'''207''' {{Small|(34.5%)}}
|24
|{{increase}} 171 {{Small|(28.5pp)}}
|4.00%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|24|600|#FDF38E}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|207|600|#FDF38E}}
|'''15,206,181'''
|212
|35.33%
|34.44%
|{{increase}} 12,677,060
|{{Infobox political party/seats|212|600|#FDF38E}}
|{{increase}} 188
|{{increase}} 28.46pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#272727;" |
| style="background-color:#272727;" |
|[[Nationalist Party of Empherias|Nationalist Party]]
|[[Nationalist Party of Empherias|Nationalist Party]]
|NP
|NP
|[[Pippin Pierre]]
|[[Kristopher Simons]]
|'''68''' {{Small|(11.33%)}}
|65
|{{decrease}} 19 {{Small|(14.5pp)}}
|10.83%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|65|600|#272727}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|68|600|#272727}}
|'''5,000,195'''
|73
|12.17%
|11.32%
|{{decrease}} 1,110,101
|{{Infobox political party/seats|73|600|#272727}}
|{{increase}} 8
|{{decrease}} 3.13pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#0087dc;" |
| style="background-color:#ff6f00;" |
|[[Conservative Party of Empherias|Conservative Party]]
|[[Alliance Party (HKA)|Alliance Party]]
|CON
|ALL
|[[James Armisen Bleaker]]
|[[Oskar Nikolei]]
|'''12''' {{Small|(2.00%)}}
|7
|{{decrease}} 17 {{Small|(2.83pp)}}
|1.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|7|600|#0087DC}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|12|600|#FF6F00}}
|'''865,122'''
|8
|1.33%
|1.96%
|{{decrease}} 1,117,073
|{{Infobox political party/seats|8|600|#0087DC}}
|{{increase}} 1
|{{decrease}} 2.73pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#73af48;" |
| style="background-color:#73af48;" |
Line 132: Line 1,099:
|GRN
|GRN
|[[Georgia White]]
|[[Georgia White]]
|'''11''' {{Small|(1.83%)}}
|4
|{{increase}} 5 {{Small|(0.83pp)}}
|0.67%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|4|600|#73AF48}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|11|600|#73AF48}}
|'''538,912'''
|4
|0.67%
|1.22%
|{{increase}} 156,317
|{{Infobox political party/seats|4|600|#73AF48}}
|{{steady}}
|{{increase}} 0.32pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#ff6f00;" |
| style="background-color:#0087dc;" |
|[[Alliance Party (HKA)|Alliance Party]]
|[[Conservative Party of Empherias|Conservative Party]]
|ALL
|CON
|[[Oskar Nikolei]]
|[[James Armisen Bleaker]]
|8 {{Small|(1.33%)}}
|5
|{{decrease}} 10 {{Small|(1.67pp)}}
|0.83%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|5|600|#FF6F00}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|8|600|#0087DC}}
|'''785,285'''
|2
|0.33%
|1.78%
|{{decrease}} 400,481
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF6F00}}
|{{decrease}} 3
|{{decrease}} 1.02pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#ff0000;" |
| style="background-color:#ff0000;" |
|[[Ankrank Party of Empherias|Ankrank Party]]
|[[Anchor Party]]
|ANK
|ANK
|David Myres
|David Myres
|'''2''' {{Small|(0.33%)}}
|4
|{{decrease}} 4 {{Small|(0.33pp)}}
|0.67%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|4|600|#FF0000}}
|2
|0.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF0000}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#FF0000}}
|'''99,285'''
|{{decrease}} 2
|0.22%
|{{decrease}} 160,827
|{{decrease}} 0.40pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#70147a;" |
| style="background-color:#70147a;" |
Line 168: Line 1,135:
|BVP
|BVP
|Harris Bennett
|Harris Bennett
|'''1''' {{Small|(0.17%)}}
|2
|{{decrease}} 2 {{Small|(0.33pp)}}
|0.33%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#70147A}}
|1
|0.17%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|1|600|#70147A}}
|{{Infobox political party/seats|1|600|#70147A}}
|'''66,295'''
|{{decrease}} 1
|0.15%
|{{decrease}} 101,889
|{{decrease}} 0.25pp
|-
|-
| style="background-color:#c27ba0;" |
| style="background-color:#c27ba0;" |
Line 180: Line 1,147:
|PDP
|PDP
|Ella Owen
|Ella Owen
| colspan="3" |'''0''' {{Small|(0.00%)}}
|2
|'''19,964'''
|0.33%
|0.05%
|{{Infobox political party/seats|2|600|#C27BA0}}
|{{decrease}} 41
|0
|{{steady}} 0.00pp
|0.00%
|-
|{{Infobox political party/seats|0|600|#C27BA0}}
|
|{{decrease}} 2
| colspan="3" |Independents (non-party)
| colspan="3" |'''0''' {{Small|(0.00%)}}
|'''49,127'''
|0.11%
|{{increase}} 16,467
|{{increase}} 0.03pp
|-
! colspan="7" |Blank and invalid votes
!140,295
!0.32%
!{{decrease}} 121,661
!{{decrease}} 0.30pp
|-
! colspan="4" |Total
! colspan="3" |600 seats
!44,152,857
!90.58%
!{{increase}} 1,874,748
!{{increase}} 2.06pp
|-
! colspan="7" |Registered voters
!48,744,598
!80.28%
!{{increase}} 983,516
!{{decrease}} 0.06pp
|}
|}

===Analysis===
Indepth changes to the result

Sideways parliament bar chart

Parliament chart (flourish)

bicumeral chart

Indepth result table

MPs who lost their set, MPs who gained their sets

Changes to government

Latest revision as of 05:04, 26 July 2023

2495 Empherias general election

← 2491 September 29, 2495 (2495-09-29) 2499 →

All 600 seats to the Parliament of Empherias
301 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered80.28% (48,744,598) Decrease (0.06pp)
Turnout90.58% (44,152,857) Increase (2.06pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Lucy King William Turner Kristopher Simons
Party PSP Liberals Nationalists
Leader since 9 July 2488 3 November 2494 26 August 2475
Last election 417 seats, 69.41% 36 seats, 6.0% 87 seats, 14.5%
Seats won 291, 48.43% 207, 34.5% 68, 11.3%
Seat change Decrease 126, 21.0% Increase 171, 28.5% Decrease 19, 3.2%
Popular vote 21,382,196 15,206,181 5,000,195
Percentage 48.43% 34.44% 11.32%
Swing Decrease 20.98pp Increase 28.46pp Decrease 3.13pp

File:2495 empherias election map.png

Prime Minister before election

Lucy King (King II)
PSP

Elected Prime Minister

Lucy King (King III)
PSP

The 2495 Empherias general election was held on 29 September 2495, to elect 600 members to the Parliament of Empherias. It resulted in the incumbent People's Socialist Party losing over one hundred seats and receiving a plurality of the seats, short 10 for a majority. The Liberal party returned to opposition as the second largest party with 207 seats, up from 36 seats at the last election. This was the second consecutive election victory by Prime Minister Lucy King, and third consecutive victory for the Socialists.

Background[edit | edit source]

Polling[edit | edit source]

Dates

conducted

Pollster Sample

size

PSP NAT LIB ALL CON GRN ANK BVP Others Lead
29 September 2495 2495 Empherias general election 48.6% 11.3% 34.5% 2.0% 1.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% n/a 14.1%
September 2495 RegPoll 1,185 45% 11% 37% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 8%
September 2495 RegPoll 1,200 42% 11% 40% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2%
September 2495 RegPoll 1,204 41% 10% 42% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1%
August 2495 RegPoll 1,105 42% 10% 38% 4% 2% 2% 0% 0% 2% 4%
August 2495 RegPoll 995 41% 11% 37% 5% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 4%
August 2495 RegPoll 986 43% 11% 32% 8% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 11%
August 2495 RegPoll 1,100 49% 10% 26% 10% 1% 2% 0% 0% 3% 23%
July 2495 RegPoll 1,082 53% 9% 21% 12% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 32%
July 2495 RegPoll 1,044 56% 8% 17% 14% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 39%
Alliance party scandal causes immense infighting
July 2495 RegPoll 1,025 54% 8% 16% 17% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 37%
July 2495 RegPoll 703 55% 8% 15% 17% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 38%
2495 Ahitereiran earthquake hits, National Emergency Act passed
June 2495 RegPoll 689 51% 8% 16% 19% 2% 3% 1% 1% 0% 32%
May 2495 RegPoll 672 50% 8% 16% 20% 2% 3% 1% 1% 0% 30%
April 2495 Budget published
April 2495 RegPoll 652 47% 8% 18% 21% 2% 3% 1% 1% 0% 26%
March 2495 RegPoll 624 48% 9% 17% 19% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 29%
February 2495 RegPoll 601 50% 9% 15% 18% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 32%
January 2495 RegPoll 605 49% 9% 14% 19% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 30%
December 2494 RegPoll 600 51% 9% 10% 21% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 30%
Liberal leader Jack Bastion assassinated; William Turner succeeds him
November 2494 RegPoll 614 55% 10% 5% 21% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 34%
October 2494 RegPoll 682 53% 10% 5% 21% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 32%
September 2494 RegPoll 655 52% 11% 5% 22% 2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 30%
August 2494 RegPoll 635 54% 10% 5% 22% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 32%
July 2494 RegPoll 622 53% 11% 5% 22% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 31%
June 2494 RegPoll 651 55% 10% 5% 21% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 34%
May 2494 RegPoll 692 54% 11% 5% 19% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 35%
April 2494 Budget published
April 2494 RegPoll 684 49% 12% 6% 24% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 25%
March 2494 RegPoll 655 50% 13% 5% 23% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 27%
February 2494 RegPoll 640 49% 14% 5% 23% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 26%
January 2494 RegPoll 623 50% 14% 5% 21% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 29%
December 2493 RegPoll 636 52% 13% 6% 19% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 33%
November 2493 RegPoll 634 51% 13% 6% 20% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 31%
October 2493 RegPoll 641 50% 14% 7% 19% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 31%
Government minister resigns due to scandal
September 2493 RegPoll 684 56% 13% 6% 15% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 41%
August 2493 RegPoll 621 55% 14% 5% 16% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 39%
July 2493 RegPoll 614 58% 13% 5% 14% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 44%
June 2493 RegPoll 651 60% 12% 5% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 47%
May 2493 RegPoll 662 59% 12% 5% 14% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 45%
April 2493 Budget published
April 2493 RegPoll 680 53% 13% 5% 18% 3% 5% 1% 1% 1% 35%
March 2493 RegPoll 702 56% 12% 5% 17% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 39%
February 2493 RegPoll 618 53% 12% 5% 18% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 35%
Nationalist minister resigns and official apology
January 2493 RegPoll 613 55% 8% 5% 20% 4% 5% 1% 1% 1% 35%
December 2492 RegPoll 664 50% 9% 5% 21% 4% 7% 2% 1% 1% 29%
November 2492 RegPoll 665 52% 8% 5% 22% 4% 6% 1% 1% 1% 30%
October 2492 RegPoll 761 55% 5% 5% 20% 6% 6% 1% 1% 1% 35%
September 2492 RegPoll 667 58% 5% 5% 18% 5% 5% 1% 2% 1% 40%
August 2492 RegPoll 644 61% 6% 5% 15% 4% 6% 1% 1% 1% 46%
Nationalist party scandal becomes mainstream
July 2492 RegPoll 635 59% 13% 5% 13% 2% 6% 1% 0% 1% 46%
June 2492 RegPoll 694 60% 13% 5% 12% 2% 6% 1% 0% 1% 47%
May 2492 RegPoll 710 63% 12% 5% 11% 2% 5% 1% 0% 1% 51%
April 2492 Budget published
April 2492 RegPoll 617 58% 13% 4% 14% 3% 6% 1% 0% 1% 44%
March 2492 RegPoll 612 56% 14% 4% 15% 2% 7% 1% 0% 1% 41%
February 2492 RegPoll 625 55% 15% 5% 14% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1% 40%
January 2492 RegPoll 655 57% 14% 5% 13% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1% 43%
December 2491 RegPoll 731 57% 14% 5% 12% 3% 7% 1% 0% 1% 43%
November 2491 RegPoll 652 56% 14% 5% 13% 3% 7% 1% 0% 1% 42%
October 2491 RegPoll 624 56% 15% 5% 13% 3% 7% 1% 0% 1% 41%
September 2491 RegPoll 601 52% 17% 5% 14% 3% 8% 1% 0% 1% 35%
August 2491 RegPoll 605 58% 17% 5% 11% 3% 5% 1% 0% 1% 41%
July 2491 RegPoll 600 62% 16% 5% 9% 3% 4% 1% 0% 1% 46%
Government minister resigns due to scandal
June 2491 RegPoll 624 68% 15% 5% 6% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 53%
May 2491 RegPoll 613 70% 14% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 56%
April 2491 Budget published
April 2491 RegPoll 611 71% 13% 5% 6% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 58%
March 2491 RegPoll 605 69% 15% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 54%
19 February 2491 2491 Empherias general election 69.4% 14.5% 6.0% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 54.9%

Results[edit | edit source]

File:2495 empherias election map.png
296 264 25 15
Socialists Liberals Nationalists O
Party Leader Seats change MP %s Pop vote change
Red Bloq PSP Lucy King 291 (48.5%) Decrease 126 (21.0pp)
291 / 600
21,382,196 48.43% Decrease 7,963,023 Decrease 20.98pp
Liberal Party LIB William Turner 207 (34.5%) Increase 171 (28.5pp)
207 / 600
15,206,181 34.44% Increase 12,677,060 Increase 28.46pp
Nationalist Party NP Kristopher Simons 68 (11.33%) Decrease 19 (14.5pp)
68 / 600
5,000,195 11.32% Decrease 1,110,101 Decrease 3.13pp
Alliance Party ALL Oskar Nikolei 12 (2.00%) Decrease 17 (2.83pp)
12 / 600
865,122 1.96% Decrease 1,117,073 Decrease 2.73pp
Green and Durbanists GRN Georgia White 11 (1.83%) Increase 5 (0.83pp)
11 / 600
538,912 1.22% Increase 156,317 Increase 0.32pp
Conservative Party CON James Armisen Bleaker 8 (1.33%) Decrease 10 (1.67pp)
8 / 600
785,285 1.78% Decrease 400,481 Decrease 1.02pp
Anchor Party ANK David Myres 2 (0.33%) Decrease 4 (0.33pp)
2 / 600
99,285 0.22% Decrease 160,827 Decrease 0.40pp
Bokanist Values Party BVP Harris Bennett 1 (0.17%) Decrease 2 (0.33pp)
1 / 600
66,295 0.15% Decrease 101,889 Decrease 0.25pp
Pink Daphnes PDP Ella Owen 0 (0.00%) 19,964 0.05% Decrease 41 Steady 0.00pp
Independents (non-party) 0 (0.00%) 49,127 0.11% Increase 16,467 Increase 0.03pp
Blank and invalid votes 140,295 0.32% Decrease 121,661 Decrease 0.30pp
Total 600 seats 44,152,857 90.58% Increase 1,874,748 Increase 2.06pp
Registered voters 48,744,598 80.28% Increase 983,516 Decrease 0.06pp

Analysis[edit | edit source]

Indepth changes to the result

Sideways parliament bar chart

Parliament chart (flourish)

bicumeral chart

Indepth result table

MPs who lost their set, MPs who gained their sets

Changes to government