2495 Empherias general election: Difference between revisions

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| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party|PSP]]
| party1 = [[People's Socialist Party|PSP]]
| leader_since1 = [[Assassination of Alistair Walker|9 July 2488]]
| leader_since1 = [[Assassination of Alistair Walker|9 July 2488]]
| last_election1 = 291 seats, 48.5%
| last_election1 = 417 seats, 69.41%
| seats1 = '''296''', 49.3%
| seats1 = '''291''', 48.43%
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 5, 0.8%
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 126, 21.0%
| popular_vote1 = '''21,732,024'''
| popular_vote1 = '''21,382,196'''
| percentage1 = '''TBD'''
| percentage1 = '''48.43%'''
| swing1 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 20.98[[Percentage point|pp]]
| color1 = #E4003B
| color1 = #E4003B
<!-- Liberals -->
<!-- Liberals -->
Line 27: Line 27:
| party2 = [[Liberal Party of Empherias|Liberals]]
| party2 = [[Liberal Party of Empherias|Liberals]]
| leader_since2 = [[2494 Empherias Liberal party leadership election|3 November 2494]]
| leader_since2 = [[2494 Empherias Liberal party leadership election|3 November 2494]]
| last_election2 = 207 seats, 34.5%
| last_election2 = 36 seats, 6.0%
| seats2 = '''254''', 42.3%
| seats2 = '''207''', 34.5%
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 47, 7.8%
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 171, 28.5%
| popular_vote2 = '''18,648,426 '''
| popular_vote2 = '''15,206,181'''
| percentage2 = '''TBD'''
| percentage2 = '''34.44%'''
| swing2 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| swing2 = {{increase}} 28.46[[Percentage point|pp]]
| color2 = #fdf38e
| color2 = #fdf38e
<!-- Nationalists-->
<!-- Nationalists-->
| image3 = Person.png
| image3 = Person.png
| leader3 = [[Pippin Pierre]]
| leader3 = [[Kristopher Simons]]
| party3 = [[Nationalist of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| party3 = [[Nationalist of Empherias|Nationalists]]
| leader_since3 = [[2497 Empherias Nationalist party leadership election|25 February 2497]]
| leader_since3 = [[2475 Empherias Nationalist party leadership election|26 August 2475]]
| last_election3 = 68 seats, 11.3%
| last_election3 = 87 seats, 14.5%
| seats3 = '''25''', 4.2%
| seats3 = '''68''', 11.3%
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 43, 7.1%
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 19, 3.2%
| popular_vote3 = '''1,835,475'''
| popular_vote3 = '''5,000,195'''
| percentage3 = '''TBD'''
| percentage3 = '''11.32%'''
| swing3 = {{increase}} TBD [[Percentage point|pp]]
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 3.13[[Percentage point|pp]]
| color3 = #272727
| color3 = #272727
<!-- Result -->
<!-- Result -->
| title = Prime Minister
| title = Prime Minister
| before_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Third King administration of Empherias|King III]])}}
| before_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Second King administration of Empherias|King II]])}}
| before_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| before_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| after_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Fourth King administration of Empherias|King IV]])}}
| after_election = [[Lucy King]] {{Small|([[Third King administration of Empherias|King III]])}}
| after_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
| after_party = [[People's Socialist Party of Empherias|PSP]]
|opinion_polls=yes
|opinion_polls=yes
Line 396: Line 396:
==Results==
==Results==
{| style="width:70%; text-align:center;"
{| style="width:70%; text-align:center;"
| colspan="4" |[[File:2499 empherias election map.png|center|frameless|900x900px|border]]
| colspan="4" |[[File:2495 empherias election map.png|center|frameless|900x900px|border]]
|-
|-
| colspan="4" |[[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2499.png|frameless|900px|center]]
| colspan="4" |[[File:Empherias pc Parliament 2495.png|frameless|900px|center]]
|- style="color:white;"
|- style="color:white;"
| style="background:#E4003B; width; 49.3%;" |'''296'''
| style="background:#E4003B; width; 49.3%;" |'''296'''

Revision as of 19:42, 23 July 2023

2495 Empherias general election

← 2491 September 29, 2495 (2495-09-29) 2499 →

All 600 seats to the Parliament of Empherias
301 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered80.28% (48,744,598) Decrease (0.06pp)
Turnout90.58% (44,152,857) Increase (2.06pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Lucy King William Turner Kristopher Simons
Party PSP Liberals Nationalists
Leader since 9 July 2488 3 November 2494 26 August 2475
Last election 417 seats, 69.41% 36 seats, 6.0% 87 seats, 14.5%
Seats won 291, 48.43% 207, 34.5% 68, 11.3%
Seat change Decrease 126, 21.0% Increase 171, 28.5% Decrease 19, 3.2%
Popular vote 21,382,196 15,206,181 5,000,195
Percentage 48.43% 34.44% 11.32%
Swing Decrease 20.98pp Increase 28.46pp Decrease 3.13pp

File:2495 empherias election map.png

Prime Minister before election

Lucy King (King II)
PSP

Elected Prime Minister

Lucy King (King III)
PSP

The 2495 Empherias general election was held on 29 September 2495, to elect 600 members to the Parliament of Empherias. It resulted in the incumbent People's Socialist Party losing over one hundred seats and receiving a plurality of the seats, short 10 for a majority. The Liberal party returned to opposition as the second largest party with 207 seats, up from 36 seats at the last election. This was the second consecutive election victory by Prime Minister Lucy King, and third consecutive victory for the Socialists.

Background

Polling

Dates

conducted

Pollster Sample

size

PSP LIB NAT CON ALL GRN ANK BVP Others Lead
2 September 2499 2499 Empherias general election 49.3% 42.3% 4.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% n/a 7.0%
14 June 2496 RegPoll 620 48% 30% 6% 1% 7% 8% 0% 0% 18%
31 May 2496 RegPoll 615 50% 27% 7% 1% 6% 8% 1% 0% 23%
17 May 2496 RegPoll 612 48% 28% 8% 1% 7% 7% 1% 0% 20%
3 May 2496 RegPoll 621 50% 27% 7% 1% 6% 8% 1% 0% 23%
19 April 2496 RegPoll 629 49% 28% 8% 0% 6% 8% 1% 0% 21%
5 April 2496 RegPoll 631 52% 25% 6% 0% 4% 12% 1% 0% 27%
22 March 2496 RegPoll 605 54% 21% 8% 1% 3% 13% 0% 0% 33%
8 March 2496 RegPoll 619 51% 27% 7% 1% 3% 11% 0% 0% 24%
23 February 2496 RegPoll 618 50% 28% 6% 2% 4% 10% 0% 0% 22%
9 February 2496 RegPoll 620 48% 30% 8% 1% 3% 10% 0% 0% 18%
26 January 2496 RegPoll 613 53% 29% 8% 1% 3% 6% 0% 0% 24%
12 January 2496 RegPoll 605 54% 28% 8% 1% 4% 5% 0% 0% 26%
29 December 2495 RegPoll 606 51% 31% 9% 2% 3% 4% 0% 0% 20%
15 December 2495 RegPoll 621 53% 30% 9% 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 23%
1 December 2495 RegPoll 625 49% 34% 10% 1% 2% 4% 0% 0% 15%
17 November 2495 RegPoll 622 50% 33% 10% 1% 2% 4% 0% 0% 17%
3 November 2495 RegPoll 610 51% 32% 11% 1% 1% 4% 0% 0% 19%
20 October 2495 RegPoll 613 50% 34% 11% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 16%
6 October 2495 RegPoll 609 49% 35% 11% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 14%
29 September 2495 2495 Empherias general election 48.6% 34.5% 11.3% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% n/a 14.1%

Results

File:2495 empherias election map.png
296 264 25 15
Socialists Liberals Nationalists O
Party Leader Seats change MP %s Pop vote change
Red Bloq PSP Lucy King 291 (48.5%) Decrease 126 (21.0pp)
291 / 600
21,382,196 48.43% Decrease 7,963,023 Decrease 20.98pp
Liberal Party LIB William Turner 207 (34.5%) Increase 171 (28.5pp)
207 / 600
15,206,181 34.44% Increase 12,677,060 Increase 28.46pp
Nationalist Party NP Kristopher Simons 68 (11.33%) Decrease 19 (14.5pp)
68 / 600
5,000,195 11.32% Decrease 1,110,101 Decrease 3.13pp
Alliance Party ALL Oskar Nikolei 12 (2.00%) Decrease 17 (2.83pp)
12 / 600
865,122 1.96% Decrease 1,117,073 Decrease 2.73pp
Green and Durbanists GRN Georgia White 11 (1.83%) Increase 5 (0.83pp)
11 / 600
538,912 1.22% Increase 156,317 Increase 0.32pp
Conservative Party CON James Armisen Bleaker 8 (1.33%) Decrease 10 (1.67pp)
8 / 600
785,285 1.78% Decrease 400,481 Decrease 1.02pp
Anchor Party ANK David Myres 2 (0.33%) Decrease 4 (0.33pp)
2 / 600
99,285 0.22% Decrease 160,827 Decrease 0.40pp
Bokanist Values Party BVP Harris Bennett 1 (0.17%) Decrease 2 (0.33pp)
1 / 600
66,295 0.15% Decrease 101,889 Decrease 0.25pp
Pink Daphnes PDP Ella Owen 0 (0.00%) 19,964 0.05% Decrease 41 Steady 0.00pp
Independents (non-party) 0 (0.00%) 49,127 0.11% Increase 16,467 Increase 0.03pp
Blank and invalid votes 140,295 0.32% Decrease 121,661 Decrease 0.30pp
Total 600 seats 44,152,857 90.58% Increase 1,874,748 Increase 2.06pp
Registered voters 48,744,598 80.28% Increase 983,516 Decrease 0.06pp

Analysis

Indepth changes to the result

Sideways parliament bar chart

Parliament chart (flourish)

bicumeral chart

Indepth result table

MPs who lost their set, MPs who gained their sets

Changes to government